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Doubly Robust Functional Representation Learning for Longitudinal Causal Inference with Irregular Histories

Making sense of messy medical records to find what actually causes outcomes

Doctors often track patients with lab tests and monitor readings taken at random times, creating fragmented records that standard statistical methods struggle to handle. This paper presents a new approach that converts these irregular histories into clean data states, then uses those states to answer causal questions—like whether a treatment actually changed a patient's outcome—while accounting for confounding and measurement bias. Tests on ICU data show the method works even when records are sparse or heavily skewed.

Hospital records are inherently messy: labs are ordered when doctors suspect problems, vital signs stream continuously but get recorded sporadically, and timing itself contains medical information. Current methods either throw away the timing and detail or ignore bias in what gets measured when. This approach handles all of that without requiring researchers to manually engineer summaries, making it possible to reliably answer causal questions from real electronic health records—which matters because many treatment decisions in medicine depend on understanding what actually works, not just what correlates with recovery.

Graph Neural Network Force Fields for Spin Dynamics in Metallic Magnets

AI shortcuts for simulating how magnets behave without expensive calculations

Researchers created an artificial intelligence system that learns to predict the forces acting on electrons in magnetic metals, bypassing the need for repeated expensive quantum calculations. The approach cuts computational time dramatically while staying accurate across different types of magnetic arrangements, matching results from traditional simulations while running far faster.

Simulating magnetic materials currently requires solving complex quantum equations thousands of times—a process that limits what scientists can study to small systems or short timescales. This AI shortcut could enable simulations of realistic magnetic devices at practical scales and timescales, accelerating research into next-generation magnetic storage, computing, and energy technologies.

ZAPs: A Reward Attribution Framework for DeFi Ecosystems with Adversarial-Robust Scoring via Parallel Anomaly Ensemble Detection

Stopping bots from gaming crypto rewards while fairly rewarding real users

Most cryptocurrency reward programs can be easily exploited by fake accounts and bot networks, diverting money meant for genuine users. A new system called ZAPs uses a combination of fairness rules and fraud detection to block these attacks while ensuring that whales and protocol farmers can't dominate rewards—in live tests, it cut fraudulent reward capture by more than half while increasing participation from legitimate users by nearly half.

Cryptocurrency platforms spend billions on user incentives, but much of it currently leaks to bots and organized fraud rings instead of reaching real people. ZAPs could redirect tens of millions of dollars annually from attackers to legitimate users, making crypto programs more cost-effective for platforms and fairer for the people they're trying to attract.

Change2Task: From Repository Changes to Executable Coding Agent Tasks and Environments

Mining real code changes to automatically create training tasks for AI coding assistants

Researchers created Change2Task, a system that mines a repository's history of merged pull requests and converts them into executable training tasks for coding agents. Starting from 1,130 source changes, the system successfully created verified tasks 80% of the time across five task types: bug fixes, feature additions, test generation, API migrations, and security repairs. The approach recovers 29% more usable tasks than simpler baselines and reduces computational costs by 11%.

Training coding agents requires thousands of realistic programming tasks paired with working code environments—a slow and expensive process to create by hand. Change2Task taps into the gold mine of real developer work already stored in code repositories, automatically extracting and validating tasks at scale. This unlocks faster, cheaper development of better AI coding assistants while reusing modern code environments instead of reconstructing them repeatedly.

When Linear RUL Labels Disagree with Vibration Degradation: A Stage-Aware Target and Dual-Scale Predictor Evaluated on XJTU-SY and IMS

Why bearing failure timelines don't match what vibration sensors actually show

Machines fail in predictable stages—but the standard way of labeling remaining lifespan (as a straight line over time) doesn't match what vibration sensors actually measure. Researchers built a new prediction system that accounts for three distinct failure phases, fitting a curve that bends to match real vibration behavior. On test bearings, this stage-aware approach cut prediction error by 10–15% compared to the traditional linear method.

Industrial bearing failures cause unplanned downtime and expensive repairs. Better predictions of when a bearing will actually fail—rather than guesses based on calendar time—let maintenance teams act at the right moment: not so early that they waste money on premature replacement, not so late that the machine breaks down. This method shows that off-the-shelf sensors can be more useful if the software interpreting them accounts for how machines truly degrade.

Lifting Lifted Product Codes

Building better quantum error-correcting codes by expanding their mathematical structure

Physicists have developed a systematic method to create larger and more efficient quantum error-correcting codes by mathematically "lifting" existing ones while keeping their core structure intact. The approach yields codes with better performance than previously available versions and makes it cheaper in terms of physical resources to perform reliable quantum operations on these codes.

Quantum computers need error correction to function reliably, and the overhead required—extra qubits and operations needed to protect against mistakes—is a major barrier to building practical machines. This work produces codes that require less overhead while maintaining error protection, directly reducing the resource demands of near-term quantum computers. The systematic construction framework also opens a path toward understanding whether quantum error correction can scale efficiently without relying on physical space and geometry, a theoretical question that matters for long-term quantum computing architecture.

Algorithms for Structured Elections under Thiele Voting Rules

Making it faster to count votes when approval patterns follow a simple structure

Researchers found that a common voting method becomes much faster to compute when voters' approval choices follow a specific structure—where each candidate is approved by voters in a consecutive block. The team designed new algorithms that can solve what would otherwise be computationally intractable problems, and also cracked two long-standing open questions about how to quickly count votes under approval-based rules.

As organizations and governments adopt approval voting for committee selection, the ability to actually compute winners becomes essential. These algorithms make it practical to run Proportional Approval Voting on real-world elections where the approval patterns naturally cluster—a common scenario in actual voting data. This bridges the gap between voting theory and implementation by proving that structured real-world elections don't have the computational barriers that have limited these fairer voting systems' adoption.

Secure Aggregation for Privacy-Preserving Federated Learning on Clinical EEG Data

Letting hospitals train AI together without exposing patient brain data

Researchers created a system that lets multiple hospitals train a shared machine-learning model on EEG brain scans without sending anyone's actual patient data to a central server. The method uses mathematical masking and secret-sharing to hide individual hospital updates even from the aggregation server, and works whether you trust that server or assume it might cheat.

Hospitals can now collaborate on better AI models for brain disorders while keeping sensitive neurological data private and on-site. The tradeoff is real—adding strong privacy protections slows things down and requires more computation—but the semi-honest version adds only modest overhead, making it practical for real healthcare networks.

Eventually greedy best Egyptian underapproximations of rational numbers via optimal control

A 75-year-old puzzle about breaking fractions into simpler pieces

Mathematicians have solved a problem posed by Erdős and Graham in the 1970s about ancient Egyptian fractions—a method of writing rational numbers as sums of unit fractions (fractions with numerator 1). The researchers proved that every positive rational number can be built using a 'greedy' approach that always picks the largest possible unit fraction at each step, whether or not you're allowed to repeat the same denominator.

Egyptian fractions aren't just historical curiosities—they appear in computer algorithms, cryptography, and number theory. This proof settles a foundational question about whether the simplest approximation method always works, which establishes new bounds on how large denominators can grow when repeatedly breaking down fractions. The work also introduces an optimal control framework that other researchers can now apply to similar problems in discrete mathematics.

Hierarchical Spatio-Temporal Transformer for Coherent Emergency Department Forecasting

Making emergency room forecasts that add up across hospitals, regions, and nations

A new AI system called HierSTT predicts patient demand at emergency departments across three interconnected levels—individual hospitals, regional networks, and entire countries—in a single model. Unlike existing forecasting tools that predict at only one level and often produce contradictory numbers, HierSTT ensures that hospital predictions logically add up to regional forecasts, which add up to national totals, while improving accuracy by 32% over current best methods.

Hospital administrators, regional planners, and health officials currently work with forecasts that don't align, making it impossible to staff and resource hospitals efficiently. HierSTT's coherent predictions mean hospitals get reliable staffing numbers while regional and national planners can trust that totals match up, reducing wasted resources and improving patient care during predictable demand surges. The researchers also released data from 81 Portuguese hospitals, giving other healthcare systems a foundation for building similar tools.

Breaking the Curse with BAND: Nonparametric Distribution Estimation in High Dimensions

Estimating probability patterns in high-dimensional data without exponential slowdowns

A new method called BAND uses sparse networks to estimate what patterns exist in complex, high-dimensional datasets—breaking through a long-standing mathematical barrier that makes traditional approaches exponentially slower as data dimensions increase. The approach works on mixed data types (numbers, categories, time series) and achieves estimation speeds that scale polynomially rather than exponentially with dimension.

Many real-world problems—genomics, climate modeling, financial forecasting—involve hundreds or thousands of variables, making traditional statistical methods impractical. BAND makes these high-dimensional estimation problems computationally feasible, enabling faster and more reliable probability forecasts in domains where previous methods would simply take too long to produce usable results.

A behavior-environment information loop drives sensory navigation

How animals use sensing and movement as a two-way feedback loop to find food

Organisms navigate by constantly looping information between what they sense and how they move — and these two directions of information flow predict how well they navigate. Researchers measured this two-way coupling in bacteria, worms, flies, and AI agents, finding that the same principle explains navigation success across all of them, even though each creature uses completely different strategies.

Understanding how organisms actually navigate could improve robot design, from search-and-rescue drones to autonomous vehicles that need to find targets in unfamiliar environments. The framework also reveals what makes each creature's strategy work — why a bacterium tumbles the way it does, or how a fruit fly learned to track smells — which could lead to better biological pest control or faster algorithms for AI agents learning to explore.